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Which Global E-commerce Stock Has More Upside?

Can JD.com's Global Supply Chain Expansion Drive Long-Term Growth?

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MercadoLibre MELI and JD.com JD represent two of the most prominent e-commerce platforms operating outside the United States, with MercadoLibre leading across Latin America and JD.com commanding a strong presence in China. Both companies have evolved beyond traditional online marketplaces into vertically integrated ecosystems that combine commerce, proprietary logistics networks and expanding fintech operations, positioning themselves as comprehensive digital commerce solutions in their respective regions.

As global investors seek growth opportunities beyond U.S. e-commerce giants, MercadoLibre and JD.com offer contrasting exposure to large emerging markets with distinct competitive dynamics and macroeconomic backdrops. However, both face intensifying competitive pressures while investing heavily to defend market share, raising the question of which company is better positioned to deliver returns. Let us delve deep to determine which one is a better investment now.

MercadoLibre operates as a marketplace-centric platform with asset-light economics, differentiating from JD.com’s inventory-heavy first-party model through commission-based revenues that require minimal working capital. This business model enables rapid geographic expansion across Latin America without the procurement financing and inventory risk inherent in direct merchandising approaches. MercadoLibre delivered 39% revenue growth in the third quarter of 2025 compared to JD.com’s 15% expansion. However, this growth differential came alongside margin compression as operating income grew just 30%, revealing profitability trade-offs underlying the accelerated top-line performance.

The platform reached 75 million quarterly active buyers with 7.8 million net additions in the third quarter, demonstrating successful user acquisition momentum. However, sustaining this growth has required aggressive free shipping subsidies and promotional spending that compressed contribution margins to multi-year lows, as intensifying competition forces ongoing investment in user acquisition rather than near-term profitability optimization.

MercadoLibre’s fintech operations through Mercado Pago introduce balance sheet intensity through credit card issuance and consumer lending. Nearly 50% of credit card volume now comes from profitable cohorts older than two years, validating the underwriting approach in mature markets like Brazil. However, simultaneous launches in Argentina and continued scaling in Mexico create near-term margin pressure, while elevated funding costs in volatile macroeconomic environments pressure net interest margins.

The Zacks Consensus Estimates for MELI’s 2025 EPS is pegged at $39.80 per share, down by 1.17% over the past 30 days and indicating year-over-year growth of 5.6%.

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