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Mixue Group’s Growth Driven by Global Expansion

Mixue Group's Growth Driven by Global Expansion

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Mixue Group has rapidly evolved into a global beverage powerhouse. By blending ultra-affordable products with a fast-moving franchise network, and a tightly integrated supply chain, they have disrupted the market. Its expanding brand ecosystem, digital influence, and operational scale have positioned the company as a defining force in the modern beverage landscape.

Mixue Group has achieved a major global milestone by becoming the world’s largest food and beverage chain by store count, operating over 53,000 locations across different continents. Founded as a small shaved-ice stall in Henan, China, the brand has grown into a defining force shaping Asia’s modern beverage industry.

Its rise is driven by a dual-brand strategy combining Mixue Ice Cream & Tea, known for ultra-affordable drinks, and Lucky Cup Coffee, its fast-scaling freshly brewed coffee line. Together, these brands target price-sensitive consumers while maintaining consistent quality, enabling the business to dominate lower-cost beverage categories in urban and rural markets.

A key engine behind this growth is Mixue Group’s highly efficient franchise system and its renowned “USD 1 strategy,” which keeps products accessible to the mass market. By leveraging the popular Snow King mascot, catchy songs, and viral social media content, the company has evolved beyond retail into a cultural icon across Asia and is increasingly recognized in emerging Western markets.

Mixue Group’s core competitive advantage in 2026 is its vertically integrated supply chain, enabling the company to control R&D, production, and distribution with exceptional efficiency. Through subsidiaries such as Daka International Food and advanced digital tools like the FLUX WMS, Mixue Group ensures rapid, cost-efficient delivery of ingredients such as milk powder, black tea leaves, jasmine tea, fruit purées, sugar syrup, and tapioca pearls to global outlets in as little as four hours.

As market saturation grows in lower-tier Chinese cities, Mixue Group is shifting toward experience-driven retail by developing larger-format stores with open bars and social spaces. Internationally, the group is accelerating expansion in the United States, following its successful Los Angeles flagship launch in 2025 and planned openings in major cities such as New York.

Power play

Mixue Group delivered strong H1 25 results, reporting revenue of CNY 14.9bn ($2.17bn), up 39.3% y/y, while net profit rose 39% to CNY 2.7bn. Growth was fueled by aggressive franchising, deep market penetration, and resilient consumer demand. Additional drivers included robust digital engagement, brand-led marketing, and expanding product variety targeting value-seeking customers.

Operational scale remained one of Mixue Group’s strongest advantages, as expansion continued to lean heavily on China’s lower-tier cities, which accounted for nearly 58% of the domestic network and drove meaningful traffic gains and cost efficiencies.

Mixue Group’s vertically integrated supply chain further reinforced performance. The group operated five production bases, 29 warehouses, and sourced ingredients through a global procurement network spanning 38 countries. This structure supported rapid replenishment, cost discipline, and consistent quality across its expanding franchise base.

Segment performance reflected Mixue Group’s franchise-driven model, with 97.4% of revenue generated from product and equipment sales to franchisees. Franchise service revenue also showed healthy momentum, rising 29.8% y/y to 380m y/y, underscoring the continued scalability of Mixue Group’s ecosystem.

Eyeing a rebound

Its share price has fallen 13.9% over the past year, reducing its market capitalization to about CNY 108bn ($15.6bn).

Analysts remain broadly optimistic, assigning an average target price of CNY 436.9, implying 44% upside potential. The most bullish estimate reaches CNY 540.4, suggesting a 90.5% gain. Out of the 22 analysts who monitor the stock, 17 have “Buy” ratings, reflecting strong confidence in Mixue Group’s medium-term recovery prospects.

Price wars heat up

Mixue Group faces risks from intensifying price competition, shifting consumer tastes, and execution challenges in new markets. Dependence on franchisees introduces quality control, compliance, and brand consistency exposures.

Volatile input costs, currency swings, and logistics disruptions may pressure margins. Regulatory changes in food safety, advertising, and data practices could alter operations. Social media backlash, intellectual property disputes, labor constraints, and rising occupancy expenses further threaten growth durability, cash generation, and long-term brand resilience.

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