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A Fresh Look at Restaurant Brands International (NYSE:QSR) Valuation After Landmark China Expansion Deal

Evaluating Valuation as Global Expansion and New Strategies Spark Investor Buzz

Table of Contents

Restaurant Brands International (NYSE:QSR) is making a major move in China, teaming up with CPE to triple the number of Burger King outlets there by 2035. CPE is supporting the expansion with a $350 million investment.

See our latest analysis for Restaurant Brands International.

Over the past year, Restaurant Brands International has delivered a 5.9% total shareholder return, with momentum building lately as the share price climbed over 11% in the last 90 days. Recent joint ventures, a multi-year investment programme, and a successful equity offering all highlight the company’s focus on global growth and brand reinvestment.

If you’re looking for other consumer giants making bold expansion moves, now is a great time to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

With international aspirations and multi-year investments driving the headlines, the real question for investors is whether Restaurant Brands International is trading below its intrinsic value or if the market has already accounted for its growth ambitions.

With a narrative fair value of $78.25 set against the last closing price of $70.51, the story builds on investor optimism over future earnings and margins. Analysts justify this valuation by focusing on the company’s unique catalysts for growth and profitability across global markets.

Rapid international expansion, particularly through the franchise-led model in markets such as China, India, Turkey, Japan, and Brazil, is driving double-digit unit and system-wide sales growth. This directly supports recurring, capital-light revenue streams and higher long-term earnings visibility. Acceleration in menu innovation (notably at Tim Hortons, Burger King, and across international markets) and the revitalization of core brands (e.g., new product platforms, premium and value menu balance, high-profile partnerships, ongoing Burger King “Reclaim the Flame” initiatives) have led to consistent increases in same-store sales and customer traffic. These are likely to fuel continued top-line growth and margin expansion.

Read the complete narrative.

How does a legacy fast-food brand secure a premium narrative in today’s market? Surprisingly ambitious growth projections and a fresh approach to margins are fueling this valuation. Curious which levers could push the company into a higher gear? The narrative reveals the financial engine behind this bullish price target.

Result: Fair Value of $78.25 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.

However, persistent cost inflation and intensified global competition could quickly challenge Restaurant Brands International’s growth story if margins or same-store sales come under pressure.

Find out about the key risks to this Restaurant Brands International narrative.

Looking beyond analyst price targets and multiples, our DCF model suggests even more upside for Restaurant Brands International. Using this approach, the estimated fair value per share lands at $86.98, putting the current price a solid 19% below intrinsic value and highlighting a potentially larger margin of safety. Could this mean the market is underestimating the company’s future cash flows?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

QSR Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

If you want to test your own assumptions or approach the numbers differently, it only takes a few minutes to build your own view and see how it compares. Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Restaurant Brands International research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include QSR.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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